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直播回放 超越规范认识危机和认知差异
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1. Topic:  Beyond the Paradigmatic Crisis and Perception Gaps
演讲题目:超越规范认识危机和认知差异
2. Language: Chinese
演讲语言:中文
3. Speaker: Cen Zhiwei, Professor, Faculty of Economics, Kyoto Sangyo University. Cen Zhiwei graduated from Kyoto University in 2000 with a Ph.D. in Economics. As part of Faculty of Economics, he has taught at Kyoto Sangyo University since 2001, and has been a professor and doctoral supervisor since 2010. He is also a part-time researcher at Center for East Asian Economic Studies, Kyoto University, a visiting researcher at the CHUO University of Japan, and a visiting professor at East China Normal University. His major is macroeconomics and applied econometrics.
演讲嘉宾:岑智伟,京都产业大学经济学部教授。2001年京都大学毕业,经济学博士(京都大学)。2001年起在京都产业大学经济系任教,2010年起为该校的教授兼博士生导师。日本京都大学东亚经济研究所研究员,日本中央大学客座研究员,华东师范大学客座教授。专攻:宏观经济学和应用计量经济学。
4. Abstract: In the 21st century, the world economy is undoubtedly entering the stage of “declining marginal growth rate.” To smoothly attain a “steady state” in the long-term, it must have a stable and sustained economic growth. As the historical world economic cycle shows, the continued growth of the world economy was driven by the dominant economy at the time. China’s Belt and Road economy is a source of a new round of sustained growth in the world economy. However, at present, quite a few regional or national perspectives and opinions differ from this thought. The "paradigmatic crisis" in the study pointed out by the famous historical research scholar Professor Philip C. C. Huang can be regarded as one of the reasons, that has led to many perception gaps, which has in turn led to many policy misjudgments. This report attempts to analyze and understand some of the root causes of the paradigmatic crisis and perception gaps through a simple model “Bao=third realm,” using some recent disputes about China’s economic and social understanding in Japan. This effort can thus provide a new way of thinking for the smooth progress of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and international social environment coordination.
演讲简介:21世纪的世界经济无疑是进入了“边际增长率递减”的阶段,世界经济能否平稳地到达长期经济中的“稳态状态”,必须要有一个稳定且有持续性的经济增长。正如历史性世界经济循环现象所示,世界经济的持续增长则由当时的主导经济所拉动。中国的一带一路经济恰好是拉动新一轮世界经济持续增长的一个源泉。可是,目前国际上有相当部分的区域或国家的思维和观点与此大相径庭。著名历史研究学者黄宗智教授所指出的历史学研究中的“规范认识危机”可被视为其中的原因之一。正是这种规范认识危机导致了很多的认知差异。而认知差异的结果会带来很多的政策性误判。本报告尝试通过一个简单的模型“包=第3领域”,并用最近在日本的有关对中国经济社会解释的一些争议为实例,来分析和理解导致规范认识危机和认知差异的一些根本原因,为BRI与国际社会环境协调的顺利进行提供一个新的思维方式。


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